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Nov 20, 2012
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right now we're in a decelerating earnings environment. fourth quarter is likely to see about a 5.5% gain. that's well down from more than a 15% gain expected earlier this year. the same we've seen is depressing for next year. >> is that priced into the market, you think? >> i think it does. i quite frankly think the market sold off too much following the election. it probably rallied too much yesterday. overall year to date, i'd argue the market is probably higher than it should be given where our economy is right now, our employment right now. a lot of that has been led by government intervention and stimulus. bernanke is right to say they don't have much ammunition left. the private markets need to lead the way. >> the ball is definitely in congress' court. rick, what did you make of what bernanke said and the market and how they've been responding? it's clear, from nothing else, that this is still a very headline driven market, isn't it? >> oh, especially on a holiday week where it's been thin. my problem with what he said was is that
right now we're in a decelerating earnings environment. fourth quarter is likely to see about a 5.5% gain. that's well down from more than a 15% gain expected earlier this year. the same we've seen is depressing for next year. >> is that priced into the market, you think? >> i think it does. i quite frankly think the market sold off too much following the election. it probably rallied too much yesterday. overall year to date, i'd argue the market is probably higher than it should be...
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Nov 15, 2012
11/12
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based on what we think the macroeconomic environment is going to do. >> so you were at that meeting at the white house this week. you joined a number of ceos at the white house yesterday. did the president give you hope that layoffs can be avoided at aetna? how was that meeting? >> i thought the meeting was a very constructive, very frank and open dialogue. i was impressed with the level and the grasp of the issues that the president had and his willingness to listen to american business about the ways that we needed to solve this problem. i think there is is a path to get this done. it's not going to get all done before the end of the year. but i think our message to the president was we're here to support you if you can avoid the cliff and put together a very specific framework on how we're going to get the economy going. because going over the cliff creates more joblessness. and if we can avoid that, we still don't grow the economy in 2013, so we need to show the business community, and quite frankly, all americans, that we have a plan to deal with this deficit so that we can grow e
based on what we think the macroeconomic environment is going to do. >> so you were at that meeting at the white house this week. you joined a number of ceos at the white house yesterday. did the president give you hope that layoffs can be avoided at aetna? how was that meeting? >> i thought the meeting was a very constructive, very frank and open dialogue. i was impressed with the level and the grasp of the issues that the president had and his willingness to listen to american...
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Nov 12, 2012
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if you have a supervisor who's having a relationship with a subordinate and it creates a difficult environment for the other members of the team. is there legal recourse by those other members of the team, and if there is, how often does that type of action happen? >> in my experience it's unlikely that someone would sue for a situation like that but i can tell you from personal experience that they certainly complain. they find it very disturbing to work with people who are having an affair and so they certainly are unhappy about it. clearly there is huge legal ramifications for having an affair with a subordinate. when we know many companies that have had to pay very large fines because of that. so it is expensive and dangerous. >> thank you very much. the book again, "the discrete guide for executive women -- how to work well with men and other difficulties." as sex scandals rock the defense world, women are stepping in to lead. top companies now choosing females as their chief executives. the latest hire, lockheed martin, long-time executive marilyn huson. is this a trend or is the industr
if you have a supervisor who's having a relationship with a subordinate and it creates a difficult environment for the other members of the team. is there legal recourse by those other members of the team, and if there is, how often does that type of action happen? >> in my experience it's unlikely that someone would sue for a situation like that but i can tell you from personal experience that they certainly complain. they find it very disturbing to work with people who are having an...
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Nov 12, 2012
11/12
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and in these kinds of environments where we see few details often those are the best deals. it's when everyone has confidence and equity markets are up and everyone is feeling great that they do stupid things. >> right. there you go. >> let's check in with bob pisani here on the floor with more of what's moving this morning. >> boy, did i hear dumb talk over the weekend about going over the fiscal cliff. i guess you were going to hear it. go ahead. let them go over the fiscal cliff. who cares. i heard this even from some people whose opinions i respect. well known economists and columnists. good heavens. did anybody look at what happened last time we were talking about this? the fiscal cliff is a wake-up call to politicians. august 2011, we were all here sitting on this floor when they couldn't agree on simple ability to raise the debt ceiling and they downgraded the debt. remember what happened? the s&p dropped 7% that week on the monday after it dropped another 7%. the vix went to 50 for a long time it stayed there. it ruined it the entire summer. almost the entire year of
and in these kinds of environments where we see few details often those are the best deals. it's when everyone has confidence and equity markets are up and everyone is feeling great that they do stupid things. >> right. there you go. >> let's check in with bob pisani here on the floor with more of what's moving this morning. >> boy, did i hear dumb talk over the weekend about going over the fiscal cliff. i guess you were going to hear it. go ahead. let them go over the fiscal...
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Nov 14, 2012
11/12
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headline driven in this environment. yesterday you saw the sharp rally toward the end of the session. was it because of the rumor that spain might have a bailout or was it the rumor that potentially they were bundled 44 million euros together for greece? i don't know. it clearly moved the market, both of those things incidentally didn't happen. longer term, if you look at what is happening, europe versus the united states, you can see the effect of the fiscal cliff in the wake of the obama victory. here you see the yellow line here is the top 50 blue chips in europe. how they have traded over the last month. this is the dow jones industrial average. you'll see that under performance now, 4.5% as a result arguably of that fiscal cliff and arguably where the election left us. >> it's going to get tougher sledding. >>> meantime other capital markets op-ed, gary is looking although a few charts as he did yesterday. >> you know, carl, great piece by riches warning people about bond funds versus bonds. a lot of people ignore t
headline driven in this environment. yesterday you saw the sharp rally toward the end of the session. was it because of the rumor that spain might have a bailout or was it the rumor that potentially they were bundled 44 million euros together for greece? i don't know. it clearly moved the market, both of those things incidentally didn't happen. longer term, if you look at what is happening, europe versus the united states, you can see the effect of the fiscal cliff in the wake of the obama...
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Nov 13, 2012
11/12
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he says it remains one of caution in this environment. carl, back to you. >> wednesday is the day when they name the new partners at goldman, i believe. >> that's right. >> people waiting for the call. >> people close to or a source close to goldman sachs says it will be the smallest class in over a decade. probably less than 70 will be named partners at goldman sachs this year. back to you. >> thank you so much. mary thompson at headquarters. a big mover in drilling and natural gas space. >> weatherford this morning off 12% at 3.5 year low. the company warning that fourth quarter is going to come in for earnings below consensus on that number. and they also said that they still have not been able to resolve what they call material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting. they actually didn't break out their third quarter numbers. stock getting hit hard on a day when energy is already to the downside. >> motor trend magazine naming tesla's sedan the car of the year. will the model live up to the hype? we'll find out when te
he says it remains one of caution in this environment. carl, back to you. >> wednesday is the day when they name the new partners at goldman, i believe. >> that's right. >> people waiting for the call. >> people close to or a source close to goldman sachs says it will be the smallest class in over a decade. probably less than 70 will be named partners at goldman sachs this year. back to you. >> thank you so much. mary thompson at headquarters. a big mover in...
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Nov 16, 2012
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in realtime it adapts to the environment. nobody needs to turn any knobs or touch anything. >> in terms of your geographic revenue mix, 65% of sales come from foreign customers. what are geographies you're most exposed to? >> we have geographically distributed. our business came from geography. we're not dependent on any particular region. however, this whole mobile internet is really a secular movement that crosses all regions as well as different markets and so we are not dependent on any single market. >> about 90 million in net proceeds to the company from this ipo. what are you going to do with the money? >> i think we will buy some shoes. no. >> that's a lot of shoes. >> there's a lot of investment to be made. we feel very strong about the market so in the near term we are going to certainly invest in our engineering and sales and service but also i think, you know, there are lots of technologies in adjacent markets that are interesting. we may want to grow faster than we would -- >> thank you for stopping by. selina lo
in realtime it adapts to the environment. nobody needs to turn any knobs or touch anything. >> in terms of your geographic revenue mix, 65% of sales come from foreign customers. what are geographies you're most exposed to? >> we have geographically distributed. our business came from geography. we're not dependent on any particular region. however, this whole mobile internet is really a secular movement that crosses all regions as well as different markets and so we are not...
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Nov 13, 2012
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we have called here, is taking the capabilities horizontallism you will see it on ios in the android environment there san opportunity to step forward and say because of the years of investment, we have a leading capability in the area of mapping and location service. it's important for us we get it in front of as many people as possible because these types of platforms benefit to scale. >> you will see a day when licensing could pay for your r and d in maps. there is a case where licensing is already paying and then some for our r and d in maps, already profitable today. >> lumia sales, how are they doing really quick? >> very pleased wither slip, lineups at at&t stores, sellouts in russia, heard from australia, they are doing great. early days are positive. we have a lot of work ahead. >> russia and australia, you need north america to make it a hit. thank you, stephen elon for taking the time. >> thank you, jon and stephen. >>> up next, making the bull case for jc penny. yeah, the bull case. before that, we have got to get fresh off the tell for example mary torchson, the market flash. >> you
we have called here, is taking the capabilities horizontallism you will see it on ios in the android environment there san opportunity to step forward and say because of the years of investment, we have a leading capability in the area of mapping and location service. it's important for us we get it in front of as many people as possible because these types of platforms benefit to scale. >> you will see a day when licensing could pay for your r and d in maps. there is a case where...
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Nov 19, 2012
11/12
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and low growth environment. that makes sense to me. >> aren't financials a leadership group? if they can't lead doesn't that bode poor for the market? >> we still like financials. i think they're underowned. >> you disagree with the premise? >> we have nim headwind -- >> nim? >> i thought the meant the national institute of mental health. >> maybe, maybe. you can't tell the difference sometimes. >> you've downgraded the financials. >> still overweight insurance. neutral on the banks for a while, the regional banks for a while. it was more specific to the capital market sense of the games, the investment banks, the brokerage firms, asset managers, that kind of area. >> if we get a deal, how much does the market rally? >> i know a lot of clients say they'll chase this market up 2%. they want to be flat. if the market gets a big bid, they'll chase it. i think you'll get a beta chase. i think it's quite possible to be 1430 by year end. >> do you chase it? >> i think if we get a deal mid to late december, that's when
and low growth environment. that makes sense to me. >> aren't financials a leadership group? if they can't lead doesn't that bode poor for the market? >> we still like financials. i think they're underowned. >> you disagree with the premise? >> we have nim headwind -- >> nim? >> i thought the meant the national institute of mental health. >> maybe, maybe. you can't tell the difference sometimes. >> you've downgraded the financials. >> still...
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Nov 13, 2012
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>> the environment will dictate what, in fact, we'll do. each and every quarter we have to decide our dividend. we are very committed to the strong dividend we pay. not necessarily the yield that we pay, but to the strong dividend that we pay. so we've been over the course of many years now paying this very strong dividend despite the fact that it is a very large ratio. we have the ability to do that because we do not go to capital. in the four-plus decades we've been principally doing the business we do today, which is lending on new york real estate, we have not had any period, not a single quarter, in which we've had to go to capital as a result of losses that we took on loans. so our principle asset is multifamily loans, and we've not had to go to capital. we do it through earnings. we've had minimal losses over a long period of time. the very need for the building of capital is thwarted by the difference in our business model. >> it sounds like this fiscal cliff issue won't impact you paying this dividend. >> well, i cannot say what th
>> the environment will dictate what, in fact, we'll do. each and every quarter we have to decide our dividend. we are very committed to the strong dividend we pay. not necessarily the yield that we pay, but to the strong dividend that we pay. so we've been over the course of many years now paying this very strong dividend despite the fact that it is a very large ratio. we have the ability to do that because we do not go to capital. in the four-plus decades we've been principally doing...
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Nov 12, 2012
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again, dividend growth stocks, we think, will be relatively more protected in that environment. >> along those lines, michael, what are you waiting for to get back into the stock market in a bigger way right now and get out of bonds? >> i think have you to have the cyclical trade outperform. emerging markets are pretty resilient here. i think that's bullish. you also need to have bond yields rise. we see the ten-year back at 161 despite every single effort by the federal reserve to force reflags back into the system. the bond market has to believe the fed is going to be effective. >> so, for the foreseeable future, you're waiting for some sort of sign the economy -- the growth in the economy and reflation effort is going to take hold, is that it? >> the market has to believe it's going to be enough, by way of context. the fall from apple from peak to where it is now is $100 billion of market cap. $40 billion a month. the numbers are so billing and yet the federal reserve talks in billions when we live in a world of trillions. >> so what's the -- what's the best plan here, then, toward ye
again, dividend growth stocks, we think, will be relatively more protected in that environment. >> along those lines, michael, what are you waiting for to get back into the stock market in a bigger way right now and get out of bonds? >> i think have you to have the cyclical trade outperform. emerging markets are pretty resilient here. i think that's bullish. you also need to have bond yields rise. we see the ten-year back at 161 despite every single effort by the federal reserve to...
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Nov 14, 2012
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when we bought it just superior business model in a tough environment. if things get better, great, employment improves, we're going to have more hook-ups, housing improves, more connections, great growth story. if things don't get better, we're trying to protect for the downside and keep that optionalty if the economy improves. comcast could be a monster return on capital going forward. and that's been a big core holding for quite a while, as well. >> no kidding, you've done well -- you bought it down in the low 20s? >> i don't know the actual cost price in front of me. i can tell you it's been one of our big holdings for a couple of years. home depot and lowe's we bought at the end of '11. we had a thesis that housing was bottoming. and now the housing improvement is accelerating and that's a big deal for the u.s. economy when you think about the spillover effect in construction jobs, you know, furniture, auto, cement, everything that comes with household formation in new home purchases. >> well, we want to thank you for joining us today. >> my pleasur
when we bought it just superior business model in a tough environment. if things get better, great, employment improves, we're going to have more hook-ups, housing improves, more connections, great growth story. if things don't get better, we're trying to protect for the downside and keep that optionalty if the economy improves. comcast could be a monster return on capital going forward. and that's been a big core holding for quite a while, as well. >> no kidding, you've done well -- you...
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Nov 12, 2012
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this is a different retail environment. unfortunately when you look at where they're making their money now, 23% of the revenue is coming from clearance items. it was 15% in q-3. you're talking about a company that unfortunately they're drawing them in but they're drawing them in just on that clearance side. that's not good. >> all right. the euro, let's turn attention to currencies. euro bouncing off two month lows versus the u.s. dollar today after greek leaders approve a budget for 2013. does it mark a turnaround for the euro? todd gordon of aspen trading group with more. we're asking about a turnaround for the euro. it was sitting at 1.30 or so for such a long time. it's dropped a couple pennies. now talking about a turnashd. >> last week i came on the 5:00 p.m. show and said to buy 1.27. i think you take profits on that. take those 10 or 15 pips and buy lunch today for a veteran. i think we got to go the other side now. go short euro through the 1.27 level. greece has overcome two olympic sized hurdles. $13 trillion in
this is a different retail environment. unfortunately when you look at where they're making their money now, 23% of the revenue is coming from clearance items. it was 15% in q-3. you're talking about a company that unfortunately they're drawing them in but they're drawing them in just on that clearance side. that's not good. >> all right. the euro, let's turn attention to currencies. euro bouncing off two month lows versus the u.s. dollar today after greek leaders approve a budget for...
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Nov 14, 2012
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that's 7% in a zero interest rate environment. we all knew it was going to be a slow economy. we all knew the market was going to grow slow. the bottom line is even with the decline in the last eight days, we're still up 6.5%, 7%. >> you're saying to buy into this selloff? >> i think you have to buy into it. where are you going to put your money? most of the money is going into fixed income. that's just crazy. we know future interest rates are going to go higher. that's not going to hurt corporations. it's not going to hurt profits, but what it is going to do is hurt the individual investor. they should be in equities. when you look at the dividend plays out there, it's crazy not to be. >> boy, when it comes to the markets, michael, you could not have a more different point of view, could you? >> we have about 30% cash. i took out another about 20%. we're about 50% today in cash. i don't think the fiscal cliff is going to happen. i think they're going to punt. i don't think anybody in washington, d.c. has the meatballs or spaghetti to care about cutting our debt and deficits.
that's 7% in a zero interest rate environment. we all knew it was going to be a slow economy. we all knew the market was going to grow slow. the bottom line is even with the decline in the last eight days, we're still up 6.5%, 7%. >> you're saying to buy into this selloff? >> i think you have to buy into it. where are you going to put your money? most of the money is going into fixed income. that's just crazy. we know future interest rates are going to go higher. that's not going to...
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Nov 14, 2012
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john chambers has executed in a very tough environment. >> next a it is hip to be square. the payment company announced on twitter it has hit $10 billion in processed payments before starbucks starts using square. starbucks will add 6 billion more a year so you can use square to buy your tea vana tea. >> we can't trade square because it is not public. to us veri phone. we have been short. pay anywhere. tons of them. >> celebrity trades. >> first go long channing tatum. i have been accumulating tatum calls for a long time. it is one of my best investments. take profits on the beebe. justin bieber pulled over by police driving a ferrari. he broke up with his girlfriend so expect volatility in the near term. you can never go wrong investing in one californian. kevin bacon all stories lead to him. we discover the six degrees through kevin bacon. the two biggest stories this week. general petraeus links to kevin bacon leads to her starring role in the closer which leads to john mcaffee. >> he claims to be a new yorker. we want to take credit for kevin bacon here. >> do we? >> h
john chambers has executed in a very tough environment. >> next a it is hip to be square. the payment company announced on twitter it has hit $10 billion in processed payments before starbucks starts using square. starbucks will add 6 billion more a year so you can use square to buy your tea vana tea. >> we can't trade square because it is not public. to us veri phone. we have been short. pay anywhere. tons of them. >> celebrity trades. >> first go long channing tatum. i...
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Nov 19, 2012
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on the back of -- you know, just positive improvement in environment for the financials overall. steve saying that -- of the financials bank of america has the most eps leverage to bounce back in this environment. bank of america biggest percentage gain other the dow. leading financials higher. >> josh brown, buyer here? >> no. i actually on a technicality base list tell you that $10, can clear there with conviction, meaning high volume, and then retest and stay above. that's a really -- safe entry point to buy for a short term trade. under ten, i still there are there are too many sellers and your way. i would wait for that confirmation and think it is worth it. >> are you positive on any of the banks? you are negative on the overall market a little bit. >> we like -- we like and we are long. berkshire hathaway which is the largest holdser of wells fargo and very heavily leveraged to the at the same time thing most of the banks are. home building and mortgages. we would prefer to play through the b shares of berkshire than owning any of these banks outright. especially something
on the back of -- you know, just positive improvement in environment for the financials overall. steve saying that -- of the financials bank of america has the most eps leverage to bounce back in this environment. bank of america biggest percentage gain other the dow. leading financials higher. >> josh brown, buyer here? >> no. i actually on a technicality base list tell you that $10, can clear there with conviction, meaning high volume, and then retest and stay above. that's a...
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Nov 16, 2012
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that isn't a great environment for stocks, is it? >> yeah, i think what this did, or this more conciliatory tone takes some of the tail risk off the table as far as an immediate shock earlier in the year. you're right. there are some significant problems that are going to have to be dealt with. just because you get a compromise doesn't mean you're not going to have a cutback in the deficit. there's a lot of causation. >> you think this market is beginning to transition away from all the liquidity of the quantitative easing. >> no question about it. the market is off not quite 10%. if you look a little deeper there, you see stocks that are off 30, 40%. i do think there's some opportunity there is. >> like which ones? can you name names, mark? >> sure, absolutely. intel. it's a very controversial, contrarian name right now. they've lowered earnings, however, even on those lowered earnings, you're talking about a stock less than nine times -- >> but intel was the best performing dow component this week. >> absolutely. it has a yield of
that isn't a great environment for stocks, is it? >> yeah, i think what this did, or this more conciliatory tone takes some of the tail risk off the table as far as an immediate shock earlier in the year. you're right. there are some significant problems that are going to have to be dealt with. just because you get a compromise doesn't mean you're not going to have a cutback in the deficit. there's a lot of causation. >> you think this market is beginning to transition away from all...
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Nov 20, 2012
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whitman said it would be a fix and rebuild year in a worsening macroeconomic environment. she said to expect a broad based profit decline across most businesses, but especially in enterprise services where revenue would drop 11% to 13%. operating margins near zero. that set as 24rethreshold for everything else. hp needs to keep the other business declines in the mid single digits or it will look like the turn around will take longer to turn up. >> joining us is stephanie link at the street.com. thanks very much for joining us. plenty withere to pick up on. what do you think will happen with revenues? >> hi, ross. i think that there's a chance at least on on the bottom line that the company will meet and actually could even beat consensus just because of cost controls. so the headline print of earnings might be better than expected. but to your point of revenues, i definitely think they will be below plan. some are expecting as low as a billion miss. i don't know if it that's the case. but clearly with 50% of their total revenues being pcs and printers, they have problems n
whitman said it would be a fix and rebuild year in a worsening macroeconomic environment. she said to expect a broad based profit decline across most businesses, but especially in enterprise services where revenue would drop 11% to 13%. operating margins near zero. that set as 24rethreshold for everything else. hp needs to keep the other business declines in the mid single digits or it will look like the turn around will take longer to turn up. >> joining us is stephanie link at the...
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Nov 16, 2012
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i think dividend payers will continue to work in what i see as a bond friendly environment for the economy. >> if the dividend rate does change and it is impactful to the change, empirical data shows that 3 months to 6 months they underperform non-dividend payers by 50%. >> grasso, do you have trades on it? >> i bought wynn for a growth story, not a special dividend. what's important to viewers is to know that once it goes ex-div, they do not have to hold it until the payable date. if they're trading off this, it is one thing. if they're investing off this, totally different. the dividend plays, 402 out of 500 s&p companies pay a dividend, the most since '99. any change to the dividend status is impactful to the overall market. >> what's your microsoft? watch out for that. >> more on the market move, moving higher. plus casino company makes a huge bet and it is paying off for shareholders today. so will others follow suit. lots more halftime report straight ahead. [ female announcer ] the next generation of investing technology is now within your grasp with the e-trade 360 investing dashbo
i think dividend payers will continue to work in what i see as a bond friendly environment for the economy. >> if the dividend rate does change and it is impactful to the change, empirical data shows that 3 months to 6 months they underperform non-dividend payers by 50%. >> grasso, do you have trades on it? >> i bought wynn for a growth story, not a special dividend. what's important to viewers is to know that once it goes ex-div, they do not have to hold it until the payable...
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Nov 15, 2012
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we think the holiday season is going to be competitive, we think we're still in a competitive retail environment and economic factors are making things somewhat difficult for our customers and that's why we're getting to those numbers. the stock had come in and it's going to again today. >> a lot of investors are thinking that this gigantic move and pull back appropriately to some average and was ready to blast off. look, you've got target nipping, you've got dollar tree reporting good numbers today. walmart had a great move. and now its great move i think has run its course. >> an amazing chart, if you go back to walmart stocks, the dip in the stock, it was the bryberry bottom for this quarter. i don't know if we're setting up for something better than anticipation but the head of u.s. walmart said november sales started ahead of plans. and they have got some extra sales thanks to lay away which has been a very popular program for retailers of late. >> we used to get monthly comps from all these retailers. >> those were the old days. >> i think the problem with wam mart, frankly is, the stock w
we think the holiday season is going to be competitive, we think we're still in a competitive retail environment and economic factors are making things somewhat difficult for our customers and that's why we're getting to those numbers. the stock had come in and it's going to again today. >> a lot of investors are thinking that this gigantic move and pull back appropriately to some average and was ready to blast off. look, you've got target nipping, you've got dollar tree reporting good...
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Nov 15, 2012
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i think what you need to do in this environment now is hold fewer positions, definitely have a little bit more cash. take some profits where you can. we've been doing that. home depot, wire houser. we sold some ebay today. you need to look at names that have gotten hit hard. go back to something like a coke, something like a verizon, go back to companies that are doing self-help. eaton is buying coopers. starbucks, i liked that deal last night. they're buying growth at an attractive price. i still think that dmien is a long-term theme and you can be buying those. >> we'll hear interest all of the traders certainly coming up. also, we're going to hear from former house majority leader dick gephardt who says the market could plummet if there's no deal. mr. gephardt is going to join us a little bit later on for some insight on what could happen if it all goes down. >>> meantime, apple continues its tumble today. let's get a market flash with bertha. >> thanks, apple falling to a six-month low. could this be near the bottom? we certainly seem to have hit the top in september over the ipho
i think what you need to do in this environment now is hold fewer positions, definitely have a little bit more cash. take some profits where you can. we've been doing that. home depot, wire houser. we sold some ebay today. you need to look at names that have gotten hit hard. go back to something like a coke, something like a verizon, go back to companies that are doing self-help. eaton is buying coopers. starbucks, i liked that deal last night. they're buying growth at an attractive price. i...
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Nov 14, 2012
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we're talking about a high regulatory environment. who the heck knows what happens over the near term on the fiscal cliff. is it more prudent to stay on the sidelines? you want to look for specific situations? >> let's assume they're in. they're not traders. we're an advisory conference. they're in the market. i think to sell here, to just get nervous, panic, see what's on the news and to throw it in is not prudent. we're coming into thanksgiving. you have good seasonality. i think we get a lift. when we get a lift, if you are this person who says i need to take some risk off the table, that's when you do it. so if you're looking to go into 2013 and you are uncertain, as i am, i think we have a lot fourth go down. so if you're a trader, i think you can trade this to the up side. if you're a longer term investor, you get a pop, you take some off the table and you re-evaluate like in six months. >> that's the strategy. wait for a gain so you're not selling out at the bottom here. >> i think selling in the red today is not prudent. >> ok
we're talking about a high regulatory environment. who the heck knows what happens over the near term on the fiscal cliff. is it more prudent to stay on the sidelines? you want to look for specific situations? >> let's assume they're in. they're not traders. we're an advisory conference. they're in the market. i think to sell here, to just get nervous, panic, see what's on the news and to throw it in is not prudent. we're coming into thanksgiving. you have good seasonality. i think we get...
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Nov 20, 2012
11/12
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platform the other thing is the more the product has got more, you know, less of the bad stuff and more environment oriented. >> monster beverage was the hot thing and the stock was called hanson natural. a lot of people said coca-cola should buy them. are you for sale? >> we are a long way -- >> could you use the muscle of a bigger marketing department? >> i think it's too early to talk about the sale. we're excited about the mission. we have a great celebrity and share registry behind us. we want to take our time, build something great. this is to do something meaningful. >> chris, hope you will come back. >> thank you. >> chris clark of sk. there is at least one hedge fund betting on a groupon turn around. we are giving you the tweets on this battered down stock next. >>> don't go anywhere. cramer has an exclusive tonight you won't want to miss. the ceo cloud computing king cloud force talks. could sales force give it a boost? stick around, cramer has answers. meantime, we have your first move tomorrow when we come back. >> it's the season for holiday shopping and one retailer could be a bargain
platform the other thing is the more the product has got more, you know, less of the bad stuff and more environment oriented. >> monster beverage was the hot thing and the stock was called hanson natural. a lot of people said coca-cola should buy them. are you for sale? >> we are a long way -- >> could you use the muscle of a bigger marketing department? >> i think it's too early to talk about the sale. we're excited about the mission. we have a great celebrity and share...
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Nov 16, 2012
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don't call in sick, and they make it clear they're walking off because they are protesting the work environment there at walmart where they don't feel they're being heard appropriately, are they likely to be fired? >> we want to listen to them. we want to hear whatever their concerns are. you know, not with a union representative there. they've been to our home offices. we want to sit down and listen to them, but they don't want to do that. every circumstance is going to be different on black friday. we'll take them on a case by case basis. >> we hope you can figure this out. thank you, david. >> thanks for having me on. >>> we are counting down to the bell. let's take a look at what the dow is up to. we have been all over the place today. at this stage, we're moving up by 0.3%. that's 37 points. >> i've heard the bias on the close is to the up side, to the buy side. we'll see if that holds. apple shares have lost a quarter of its value in the past two months alone. when we come back, we'll look at if this is the ultimate bargain or ultimate value trap in talking numbers. >>> plus, delta is res
don't call in sick, and they make it clear they're walking off because they are protesting the work environment there at walmart where they don't feel they're being heard appropriately, are they likely to be fired? >> we want to listen to them. we want to hear whatever their concerns are. you know, not with a union representative there. they've been to our home offices. we want to sit down and listen to them, but they don't want to do that. every circumstance is going to be different on...
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Nov 20, 2012
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so in that environment what can the fed do to try to offset that to make sure that it doesn't take touts edge of or over the edge of a recession? >> so we will see what kind of deal comes out and i think there are a range of possibilities but you are correct, even if the most extreme scenarios are avoided that some plausible scenarios still involve relatively contractionary fiscal policy overall. i made that point in my remarks write said under most plausible scenarios, no matter what happens next year, that the tightening of federal fiscal policy will outweigh the stronger, more expansionary state and local fiscal policy we are getting. so, all of that is right. it's up to congress and the president, of course, to figure out how they want to make the tradeoffs between getting budgetary improvement in the long run and providing additional support for the economy in the short run. then we are going to see how that goes. i think, again, my advice on this is sort of do no harm. and in that respect, what i am particularly concerned about is that we avoid the full force of the cliff, which wo
so in that environment what can the fed do to try to offset that to make sure that it doesn't take touts edge of or over the edge of a recession? >> so we will see what kind of deal comes out and i think there are a range of possibilities but you are correct, even if the most extreme scenarios are avoided that some plausible scenarios still involve relatively contractionary fiscal policy overall. i made that point in my remarks write said under most plausible scenarios, no matter what...
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Nov 13, 2012
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the best advice that you're giving them right now, given the atmosphere that we are facing and the environment that we are going to face in january? >> first thing i would remind them is to expect the up expected. a couple of years ago, we were all stunned when president obama signed into law the tax relief act that extended bush tax cuts and increased transfer tax exemptions to historic levels. we are now looking at something very different and we need to prepare for taxes rising, but also, take advantage of certain opportunities today. as you say, we have got about six weeks left to get it done. >> let talk about some of those advantages, because it's such a scary story really. >> yes. >> if you've had a decent year in the market and you have some gapes, a lot of people are talking about apple, for instance, there's some thought that maybe if you have a pretty decent gape in apple, do you take those profits this year? do you accelerate your income at this point? >> well, think about what's happening to capital gapes tax rates. we are at 15% today, slated to go up to 20% in january, plus you
the best advice that you're giving them right now, given the atmosphere that we are facing and the environment that we are going to face in january? >> first thing i would remind them is to expect the up expected. a couple of years ago, we were all stunned when president obama signed into law the tax relief act that extended bush tax cuts and increased transfer tax exemptions to historic levels. we are now looking at something very different and we need to prepare for taxes rising, but...
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Nov 16, 2012
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in the kind of mack troe environment we see going forward, we still think there is a place for those high-quality defensive stocks so there is a thesis there apart from the dividend. but, getting on to the high-yield question, with a higher tax rate next year, what it does is i think it makes it quite important for investors to think about asset location and perhaps there's a more efficient place to hold these assets that are becoming less tax efficient. for instance, hold them in your i.r.a. don't hold them in your taxable account. >> let's channel our inner howie mandel, deal or no deal on the fiscal cliff? >> we think deal but not this year. we think there will be a deal around the framework potentially but that the real tax and entitlement reform discussions will have to be hammered out in 2013. >> katie nixon, thanks for being with us. >>> let's hear what washington has to say and we'll talk about that more later on this hour of -- >> tyler, despite what could be positive developments, our economy is still of course to a certain extent being held hostage as we await the outcome
in the kind of mack troe environment we see going forward, we still think there is a place for those high-quality defensive stocks so there is a thesis there apart from the dividend. but, getting on to the high-yield question, with a higher tax rate next year, what it does is i think it makes it quite important for investors to think about asset location and perhaps there's a more efficient place to hold these assets that are becoming less tax efficient. for instance, hold them in your i.r.a....
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Nov 15, 2012
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so without clarity where the euro area goes, the environment will be quite difficult. p. >> okay. thanks very much for that. now, he mentioned weakness in europe. that's extending to the u.s. we are seeing futures trying to rebond here, but again, we saw levels of decline in the range of 1.3 to 1.5 yesterday for the major bourses. this morning we're really only getting about 25 points in rebound for the dow jones industrial average. which is thousand sitting at 12,559. the nasdaq and s&p are also showing a little about the of a r rebit of a rebound, but not huge moves. investors digest the growth tigs or lack thereof. spain is trying to move to the up side adding almost 0.3%, so a little better than last time we checked in. the other three down. as we're learning about the slowing of the german economy and the ftse 100, shedding 0.4%, below the 5700 mark. now, we are seeing in the uk a little better, but broadly speaking a mixed picture. we started off seeing both spain and italy moving to the down side on the bond side. now italy doing a little bit better. 4.95%. the yield fallin
so without clarity where the euro area goes, the environment will be quite difficult. p. >> okay. thanks very much for that. now, he mentioned weakness in europe. that's extending to the u.s. we are seeing futures trying to rebond here, but again, we saw levels of decline in the range of 1.3 to 1.5 yesterday for the major bourses. this morning we're really only getting about 25 points in rebound for the dow jones industrial average. which is thousand sitting at 12,559. the nasdaq and...
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Nov 20, 2012
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340 to 360 a share but we guide what we think is realistic for q-1 which is a tough macro economic environment. a lot of our savings in terms of our savings program will be back end loaded because a lot of that is labor now moving to europe where it is much more difficult to separate people and takes longer and then some of our nonlabor savings we're instituting that executional excellence around skew reduction supply chain and those will kick in in the second half but perhaps most importantly we have some fantastic product coming up and i think i've been clear that companies come in on the backs of terrific products and those will kick in in the second half. >> many would say that they're going to have to. to those that would say what you're really do is managing a declining business because at the end of the day the rise of the tablet is actually the fall of the pc and printing because people just carry this thing around with them everywhere. how do you challenge that assumption that really all you're doing is managing a declining business. you may be managing it well. that's what it is. >>
340 to 360 a share but we guide what we think is realistic for q-1 which is a tough macro economic environment. a lot of our savings in terms of our savings program will be back end loaded because a lot of that is labor now moving to europe where it is much more difficult to separate people and takes longer and then some of our nonlabor savings we're instituting that executional excellence around skew reduction supply chain and those will kick in in the second half but perhaps most importantly...
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Nov 15, 2012
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we'll ask a top ranked analyst how investors in fiscal cliffs should be playing the current environment when squawk returns. >>> many sectors of the economy would be directly affected if the u.s. economy goes off the fiscal cliff. not the least of which, the financials. we were talking about the white house and the meeting that happened yesterday. only ken chenault, of all the financials, and i don't know if you put him in the traditional category, not a classic wall street guy, is that a problem? >> i think that was an omission, there were no large commercial bankers or wall street bankers in that meeting yesterday. so i thought that was quite interesting that the white house chose not to invite anyone. >> where are you on on financials right now? the stocks have come off. it's been a horrific little ride here. >> it has. the bank stocks have been one of the best performing sectors going into the third quarter. they're up over 20%. they've been one of the weakest sectors since the third quarter results. and i think what's happened is this fiscal cliff has everybody concerned especially
we'll ask a top ranked analyst how investors in fiscal cliffs should be playing the current environment when squawk returns. >>> many sectors of the economy would be directly affected if the u.s. economy goes off the fiscal cliff. not the least of which, the financials. we were talking about the white house and the meeting that happened yesterday. only ken chenault, of all the financials, and i don't know if you put him in the traditional category, not a classic wall street guy, is...
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Nov 15, 2012
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what's really going on here is we are talking about a consumer that's still struggling in this economic environment. unemployment has gotten better but it's still around 8%. we've got this fiscal cliff looming. yes, the holidays are around the corner so that's what many retailers are banking on. but beyond that it's been tough. we had super storm sandy hit. that put an impact on a lot of retailers from department stores to big box stores like target and walmart. really what they're saying is the consumer is still under some pressure. that paycheck cycle still an issue for the walmart consumer and they say that jobs, gas prices and rising food prices also an issue for that group of shoppers. >> is housing about to fall off the fiscal cliff? what homeowners and future home buyers need to know right now. >>> mean. time, let's head out to sue at the schwab investor summit. impact in chicago. what do you got, sue? >> we got a lot coming. up. incidentally, ty, they miss you out here. we're going to talk about how to prevent your portfolio from literally going over the fiscal cliff. michael cuggino will s
what's really going on here is we are talking about a consumer that's still struggling in this economic environment. unemployment has gotten better but it's still around 8%. we've got this fiscal cliff looming. yes, the holidays are around the corner so that's what many retailers are banking on. but beyond that it's been tough. we had super storm sandy hit. that put an impact on a lot of retailers from department stores to big box stores like target and walmart. really what they're saying is...
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Nov 20, 2012
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they'd like to know what environment they're operating in. they effect them personally and the families of the people that work for them. >> can you get a franchise alone? is it easier than it was a year ago? >> yeah, credit market has loosened up a bit for our franchisees and we're fortunate our model in the investment on the investment side that we don't have to be highly leveraged and our franchisees don't have to be highly leveraged going in. they're able to pay investment out of cash but whenner this borrow money they're getting sba loans out there, smaller banks but it is tougher and it affects their growth. that's for sure. >> the smell is killing me here, i mean in a good way. it's 5:00 somewhere or noon somewhere. bob wright, thank you. we appreciate your time this morning and keep it short. >> are you going for the sub? which way? >> i don't know. >> i could eat it but i know he's an ohio state fan. go blue this weekend. i'm going to holdoff. >>> when we come back we'll talk about betting on a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff. caesar'
they'd like to know what environment they're operating in. they effect them personally and the families of the people that work for them. >> can you get a franchise alone? is it easier than it was a year ago? >> yeah, credit market has loosened up a bit for our franchisees and we're fortunate our model in the investment on the investment side that we don't have to be highly leveraged and our franchisees don't have to be highly leveraged going in. they're able to pay investment out...
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Nov 19, 2012
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most of the people that trade the bank stocks right now say low interest rate environment and no growth or low growth environmentment in 2013. reason they are not particularly optimistic. today these stocks are bouncing back. carl, they have been beaten up badly in the last couple of months. >> thanks, bob. bob pisani. send it back to head quarters and kayla. she has the market flash. >> watching diamond food. the stock tlaubled for the last year a half. down another 11% today on a downgrade from jefferies. jefferies saying there is a -- 33% more downside for this company to go. last week it restated earnings for the last two years. wipe out about $56 million in profit. they had problem was their accounting and with the payme payments. >> meantime, tensions rising in the middle east. senior official close to binyamin netanyahu is ready for ground invasion in the gaza strip but prefers diplomatic solution to that conflict. >> reporter: hello there. in fact, it is nighttime in g . gaza. the attention is shifting south of where we are. focusing more on cairo, egypt. that's where intense ne
most of the people that trade the bank stocks right now say low interest rate environment and no growth or low growth environmentment in 2013. reason they are not particularly optimistic. today these stocks are bouncing back. carl, they have been beaten up badly in the last couple of months. >> thanks, bob. bob pisani. send it back to head quarters and kayla. she has the market flash. >> watching diamond food. the stock tlaubled for the last year a half. down another 11% today on a...
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Nov 16, 2012
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dell says a challenging macro economic environment is continuing into the current quarter. >>> schiff nutrition is the subject of a bidding war between two players, it had previously agreed to be bought by bayer. >>> hostess is expected to announce if it's going to go ahead with plans to liquidate, this is something it's been threatening to do if striking workers didn't return. hostess is operating under bankruptcy protection and we've been watching that closely. on a global report, there are reports out of israel, two hamas rockets have hit southern tel aviv, landed in an open field and reports say they did not cause any damage but this comes after a night of air strikes by israel against hamas in the gaza strip and we are watching that situation closely as well. joe? >> cnbc is making the push to rise above and yesterday former wyoming senator, alan simpson and the simpson of simpson-bowles spoke to cnbc and pretty much laid out our campaign. >> the leaders of both parties who think it would be to their advantage to go off the fiscal cliff. what a wonderful trait that is, that we co
dell says a challenging macro economic environment is continuing into the current quarter. >>> schiff nutrition is the subject of a bidding war between two players, it had previously agreed to be bought by bayer. >>> hostess is expected to announce if it's going to go ahead with plans to liquidate, this is something it's been threatening to do if striking workers didn't return. hostess is operating under bankruptcy protection and we've been watching that closely. on a global...
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Nov 12, 2012
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that is a real scoop in an environment where there are no deals, david brought us a very good scoop. >> that's why you haven't participated in any of this. there are no other deals. this was the only one. >> not many needles in the hay stack. >> david found the only one. thank you for bringing it here, david. boyd jeffries name. >> what was it exposure in europe? >> egan had all sorts of rhymes and reasons for that company falling apart. >> we'll talk about shipping right now, from i-phones to apparel, cnbc's senior talent producer, lori ann larocco, our staff, incredible producer and her book "dynasties of the sea," and lori ann, reading through this, we know how important shipping is, we talk about it every day but there were things i didn't realize how much of the things in our homes are brought to us from ships. >> 92% of everything in a household has been on a ship and ever since superstorm sandy we've all realized how important shipping is as we're all going through this gasoline crisis. it's really amazing in terms of the wide breadth that the shipping industry has on the econ
that is a real scoop in an environment where there are no deals, david brought us a very good scoop. >> that's why you haven't participated in any of this. there are no other deals. this was the only one. >> not many needles in the hay stack. >> david found the only one. thank you for bringing it here, david. boyd jeffries name. >> what was it exposure in europe? >> egan had all sorts of rhymes and reasons for that company falling apart. >> we'll talk about...
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Nov 13, 2012
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shops in this consolidated apple like checkout, iphone, anyone can check you out, it's efficient, nice environment. it's the apple store customer interface combined with the best brands of the world in a small geography. we had $250 a square foot in sales with the traffic down 12%. >> for your sake and for ron johnson's sake i hope this works and i love a great come back story. >> i want to leave our viewers with one thing. the biggest problem people have with something like this, how can i own a stock when the sales are down 26%? i'll make one analogy and help people think about how to value this company. we took a stake in wendy's, why did people not like wendy's? i get a chance we come back after a commercial, i'm happy to stay. >> i think we're going. >> give me one minute and i'm happy to come back another time. wendy's, people hated the management, there was a fast growing company called tim horton's inside wendys. we separated and the stock doubled. we have this fast growing retail inside jcpenney, profitable and high margins and the rest of jcpenney is shrinking. it's hard to look at it on
shops in this consolidated apple like checkout, iphone, anyone can check you out, it's efficient, nice environment. it's the apple store customer interface combined with the best brands of the world in a small geography. we had $250 a square foot in sales with the traffic down 12%. >> for your sake and for ron johnson's sake i hope this works and i love a great come back story. >> i want to leave our viewers with one thing. the biggest problem people have with something like this,...
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Nov 19, 2012
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technologies allow natural gas producers to supply affordable, cleaner energy, while protecting our environment. across america, these technologies protect air - by monitoring air quality and reducing emissions... ...protect water - through conservation and self-contained recycling systems... ... and protect land - by reducing our footprint and respecting wildlife. america's natural gas... domestic, abundant, clean energy to power our lives... that's smarter power today. >>> hard rock international is teaming up with yoko ono. and why hunger for the imagine there's no hunger campaign. horn $4.5 would million has been raised during the past five years and the president and ce off of the hard rock cafe has been very involved in this. tell us a little bit it. >> thanks for having me. this is a ram we've beprogram w running for many years. there are a billion people beneath poverty and hunger level in the world. and the program really is a program that enjoins why hunger, yoko ono and ourselves and we encourage our staff and our customers to basically provide funding around this holiday season so t
technologies allow natural gas producers to supply affordable, cleaner energy, while protecting our environment. across america, these technologies protect air - by monitoring air quality and reducing emissions... ...protect water - through conservation and self-contained recycling systems... ... and protect land - by reducing our footprint and respecting wildlife. america's natural gas... domestic, abundant, clean energy to power our lives... that's smarter power today. >>> hard rock...